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Monday, Apr 22, 2002

Digital Video Networks
April 22, 2002

Technology trends are frequently overhyped, fail to live up to overblown expectations, but then succeed quietly. "Multimedia convergence" is a good example. Some of the basic concepts make sense, to the point of being inevitable. But too many people were claiming entirely too much.

I use the phrase "zero billion dollar market" to describe some of the wackier ideas. The typical projections for such a market have the infamous hockey stick graph. "Well, right now we're not selling anything, but in 18 months we're going to turn a corner and watch out!"

At NAB, most of the streaming media startups seemed to have evaporated. But, convergence is still plodding along, filling in the gaps. Here are a few examples.

  • In the olden days, networks and syndicaters sent content to affiliates by rolling tape decks, and bouncing real-time video over a satellite. Now, there are several IP-based solutions in operation. They're not sold using phrases like "information superhighway", but with phrases like "simplify your operation".
  • Video servers have not replaced video tape, but they are inexorably pushing it into a corner. Servers are taking over for active material in the production chain, while tapes are being relegated to archive. And you can archive to tape by doing a file transfer over ethernet. Try that with your VHS deck.
  • Streaming video for consumers is still alive. Although many companies are gone, Real Networks is still doing cool stuff and useful stuff.
These incremental changes are gradually adding up to a revolution in both professional and consumer applications. The new technology of the '90's brought a fundamental change to the industry: an explosion of channel count. The new technology of the '00s will bring another fundamental change to the industry: the death of real time.

The prospect of another whirlwind decade of change is enough to stir my work-related neurons. I'm planning to set up some sort of home network, with servers and clients and all sorts of cool stuff. I'm looking to build a sort of digital video networking playground to get familiar with the current state of technology.

Woefully, connecting my internet to the Internet is the major stumbling block. I can't get DSL. I can't get a cable modem. I can get satellite "DSL", but they are mighty stingy with their bits, and don't support home networking. But I have found my salvation in ancient technology: ISDN.

- mark 4-22-2002 4:39 pm [link] [add a comment]

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